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Strains of war are beginning to show in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

Location:

RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

Unity on Ukraine is at risk in EU’s eastern members

Location:

EU

Most eastern EU societies continue to support Ukraine in its fight for independence, back Western sanctions, the EU and NATO, and view Russia as a security threat, according to a…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

Location:

EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

War will not significantly alter Swiss neutrality

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SWITZERLAND

The decision reflects Switzerland’s political alignment with the West over Ukraine. However, its commitment to military neutrality has frustrated international partners, in…

Ukrainian military reshuffle is a gamble for Zelensky

Location:

UKRAINE

The appointment of General Oleksandr Syrsky as Zaluzhny's replacement and of other senior officers to the military command is the greatest political change in Ukraine since the…

Polish government’s Russia scare campaign may backfire

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POLAND

Political parties are looking for effective strategies ahead of the October elections. PiS aims to attract voters through generous welfare spending but also take on former Prime…

Prospects for Eastern EU to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Governments will rely on EU funding to re-energise their countries' economies, compensating for slowing external demand and depressed consumption. The war in Ukraine will…