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Arevalo would pursue political change in Guatemala

Location:

GUATEMALA

Torres (a well-known, broadly status-quo candidate, and former first lady) will face the largely untested Bernardo Arevalo, who surprised pollsters by coming second, on a…

Jordan’s stalled economy risks rising social tensions

Location:

JORDAN

The economy faces chronic problems of low growth, joblessness and declining living standards, resulting in periodic protests. Its heavy dependence on foreign aid, especially from…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

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BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

Prospects for Mexico in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), who legally cannot seek re-election, will focus on promoting his favoured presidential candidate, Claudia Sheinbaum, potentially…

India will be vigilant but not worried about al-Qaida

Location:

INDIA

The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…

Brunei will step up efforts to diversify economy

Location:

BRUNEI

The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

Guatemalan-US ties will continue to strengthen

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GUATEMALA/US

Support from Washington helped President Bernardo Arevalo take power in January, resetting relations after a period of strain under former President Alejandro Giammattei…

Dinar ban will damage EU-led Kosovo-Serbia dialogue

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KOSOVO

A Central Bank regulation reaffirming the euro as sole legal tender has alarmed Kosovo’s Serbs who see it as a direct threat to their existence and is jeopardising already complex…

EU Israel-Palestine policy will remain contradictory

Location:

EU

The lack of a clear strategy is systemic, arising from the lack of a functioning common EU foreign policy. Stuck in the parameters of the two-state solution and refusing to…

US partnership will strengthen Vietnam’s balancing act

Location:

VIETNAM

The United States thereby joined the small list of countries -- which includes China -- to have this level of diplomatic relations with Vietnam. Hanoi and Washington announced…