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ASEAN leadership will stretch Laos in 2024

Location:

LAOS

The theme it has chosen for its chairmanship is ‘enhancing connectivity and resilience’. The reference to ‘resilience’ is apt, as Laos is attempting to manage severe economic…

Congressional support will assist Guatemala’s Arevalo

Location:

GUATEMALA

A Constitutional Court ruling barring members of his Movimiento Semilla (Seed Movement, Semilla) from holding congressional leadership positions will constrain the party’s room…

Trump AI policy would prioritise US-China competition

Location:

US

Congressional gridlock has hitherto left the White House leading on US AI policy. On the campaign trail for November’s presidential election, the prospective Republican nominee…

Global AI regulations will diverge

Location:

INT

Despite a strong Chinese push on AI innovation, Beijing’s regulatory approach to AI sharply contrasts with the approaches of Western digital economies, notably the United States…

Iraqi Kurdish election divisions will erode autonomy

Location:

IRAQ

Tensions have risen over the past year between the ruling Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), due to disagreements over the electoral law…

Jordan’s foreign policy will echo domestic Gaza risk

Location:

JORDAN

The Israel-Hamas conflict looms large in Jordanian public opinion, presenting possible domestic challenges to the government. It also places pressure on core foreign policy…

Milei risks rapid loss of Argentina political capital

Location:

ARGENTINA

President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…

Serb secession crisis in Bosnia-Hercegovina may worsen

Location:

BOSNIA-HERCEGOVINA

The laws in question challenge the authority of the state-level Constitutional Court. RS President Milorad Dodik is destabilising Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) by renewing his threat…

Economic woes will dampen investor confidence in Laos

Location:

LAOS

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

Location:

RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…