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Yemen's oil and gas revival hopes will be dashed

Location:

YEMEN

Reports suggest progress on several issues, including the mechanism for paying civil servants’ salaries. The possibility that the war will wind down opens the question of whether…

Negotiations to end Yemen’s conflict may yet surprise

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YEMEN

This follows statements on August 4 by a member of the Huthi-led Ansar Allah movement that there is optimism surrounding Saudi-Huthi talks. These developments come despite recent…

Yemen’s anti-Huthi front is unlikely to regain force

Location:

YEMEN

The PLC is deeply divided, and economic conditions are deteriorating. There is no indication of improved governance in the southern areas of Yemen that it holds, despite the…

Gaza ceasefire might avert looming Israel-Lebanon war

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LEBANON

Hezbollah has been trading limited attacks with the Israeli military since October. However, Israel is warning that, without a negotiated deal to remove Hezbollah forces from its…

Israeli-Arab normalisation will freeze, not reverse

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ISRAEL/MIDDLE EAST

Deepening Gulf-Israel normalisation -- and particularly heavy US-backed efforts to advance a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia -- set the context for the Hamas attack against…

The Palestinian Authority faces existential threats

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PALESTINIANS

This followed the deaths of three Palestinians in an Israeli army incursion there on August 6, emphasising that the major two-day military assault on Jenin in early July failed to…

Israel-Palestinian Hamas Gaza war has deep roots

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PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL

The unusual attack by a member of the premier’s own party references long-standing divisions within Israel’s right wing about the decision to evacuate Gaza settlements nearly two…

Yemenis face little prospects of major relief

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YEMEN

Floods and heavy rains have made the situation worse. Meanwhile, attacks by the Huthis (the group in control of northern Yemen) obstruct shipping traffic to Hodeida port, which is…

Turkey’s defence industry is set for growth

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TURKEY

A major milestone was showcased in February, as KAAN, the country’s first domestically produced fifth-generation combat aircraft, made its maiden flight. The aircraft is equipped…

Abu Dhabi will leverage post-UNSC soft power

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

It struggled with this goal during two turbulent years that saw permanent UNSC members divided over significant conflicts. Nonetheless, the UAE was an engaged Security Council…