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War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

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EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

Policy priorities will shift in next EU Commission

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EU

Centre-right and populist right-wing parties made gains in June's EP elections. Reflecting pressure from her centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), von der Leyen has…

NATO seeks to address at least some Trump concerns

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NATO/US

NATO members reaffirmed their commitment to collective defence and support for Ukraine, and recognised China as a major security threat alongside Russia. A clear concern of most…

India will step up economic diplomacy

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INDIA

He has retained S Jaishankar as his foreign minister, in line with a broad trend of preserving continuity within the cabinet. Although his parliamentary majority is reduced and…

Czech-Slovak rift may limit Visegrad effectiveness

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CZECH/SLOVAKIA

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Normal politics will not return to Ukraine soon

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UKRAINE

The invasion has consolidated public opinion around President Volodymyr Zelensky and increased the power of the security apparatus, helping kickstart some reforms but also…

Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

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EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

Prospects for the EU in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

In addition, such issues as immigration and AI regulation, and how to address them, look set to feature prominently at the EU level over the coming months.