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Greater policy support will boost China's economy

Location:

CHINA

Retail sales accelerated in annual terms, as consumption continues to lead economic expansion. However, investment slowed and exports fell back deeper into contraction. The…

Russia's overheating economy will cool

Location:

RUSSIA

Soaring government spending, driven by the war in Ukraine, has pushed economic activity beyond levels many thought possible given the available supply of labour and capital. Yet…

Prospects for the euro-area to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Tourism and other customer-facing sectors are growing solidly even though above-target inflation is squeezing disposable incomes. However, strong services activity is keeping core…

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

International diamond market will evolve further

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

There are growing doubts about the commercial viability of the synthetic diamond sector, which has in recent years reshaped the international diamond market. LGDs have opened…

Economic woes will dampen investor confidence in Laos

Location:

LAOS

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

French growth will be weak over the coming quarters

Location:

FRANCE

France’s economy has performed better than its peers this year, due to weaker inflationary pressures and strong export performance in the second quarter. However, the latest…

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Russia's budget revenue forecast may prove optimistic

Location:

RUSSIA

The Ministry of Finance is seeking new ways to boost federal revenues to fund rising military expenditure, as well as any pledges made during the forthcoming presidential election…

UK economy faces a shallow yet prolonged downturn

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…