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Commercial property poses risks for narrow focus banks

Location:

EUROPE

Banks in larger EU states are heavily exposed to European and US CRE markets, which have further to fall in 2024. Writedowns are underway, dealing a blow to sentiment and harming…

Greater policy support will boost China's economy

Location:

CHINA

Retail sales accelerated in annual terms, as consumption continues to lead economic expansion. However, investment slowed and exports fell back deeper into contraction. The…

Gulf economies are on a stable track despite risks

Location:

GULF STATES

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

French government faces a difficult fiscal dilemma

Location:

FRANCE

As a result of dwindling tax revenue, he also said that state spending would be cut by EUR10bn (USD10.8bn). The government’s forecast for this year is more optimistic than…

Laos is at growing risk of sovereign debt default

Location:

LAOS

According to a debt sustainability analysis published by the IMF in May, Laos is in debt distress. Years of rapid growth in borrowing to fund infrastructure development…

Economic woes will dampen investor confidence in Laos

Location:

LAOS

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

El Nino farming stress will have wide economic impacts

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

This irregular weather phenomenon appears ahead of the southern hemisphere spring growing season, disrupting harvests by creating untypically severe aridity or wetness. No two El…

Gaza war will hit non-oil Middle East economies hard

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The conflict will damage the economic prospects of Israel, Egypt and Jordan, even without a major regional escalation. The Gulf Arab states, Iraq and Algeria will benefit from the…

Outlook is mixed for Indonesian economy

Location:

INDONESIA

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…