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This year is ending on a very weak note. The WTO and IMF both downgraded their forecasts for world trade in 2023 last month and their projections for stronger growth in 2024…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283367
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
Weak trade and fiscal policy constraints suggest global GDP growth will slow somewhat in 2024, with China and the United States losing momentum. Hopes for growth-boosting rate…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283146
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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GDP contracted by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in July-September, according to updated estimates from Eurostat this month, having grown by 0.2% in the second quarter and not at all in…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283678
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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This is likely if the Chinese and US economies slow as expected and the trade recovery disappoints. The much more bullish OPEC forecasts would see OPEC+ able to return some supply…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283472
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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His Historic Pact suffered a major setback in October’s local elections, with opposition figures set to govern some of Colombia’s largest cities (including Bogota) from January 1…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283348
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The municipal elections are also an opportunity for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to solidify his rule further by winning back the cities he lost in 2019. The adoption of more…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283584
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has raised interest rates from zero in March 2022 to 5.25-5.5% and has reduced its bond holdings from nearly USD9tn to USD7.8tn. While the Inflation…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283712
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Stronger economic growth in the United States, falling domestic inflation and improving government finances are expected to support the region’s exports, consumption and…
Vladimir Putin is almost certain to run and win, keeping him in power for at least six more years. Neither the war with Ukraine, nor an inflation-strained economy, are likely to…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283426
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
The outlook for the government is positive. A thaw in relations with the United States and EU, plus sanctions relief, will bring economic benefits and social spending. The slow…