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El Salvador security improvements may not last

Location:

EL SALVADOR

President Nayib Bukele looks well placed to secure re-election even though doubts persist over the constitutionality of his running for a second consecutive term. His support is…

Paraguay's Pena will face major governance challenges

Location:

PARAGUAY

His inaugural speech displayed commitment to a right-wing economic strategy and pro-US foreign policy. However, it omitted two potential threats to governance: renegotiation of…

Drug trafficking will worsen insecurity in Costa Rica

Location:

COSTA RICA

Security officials blame the spike in violence on the influence of drug trafficking organisations (DTOs), which have long transited the country but which increasingly are vying to…

Organised crime will remain entrenched in Paraguay

Location:

PARAGUAY

They discussed collaboration in fighting international organised crime in Paraguay, a growing concern for Washington. Paraguay’s geopolitical role has expanded recently as it has…

Mexico’s Sheinbaum looks set to maintain AMLO’s legacy

Location:

MEXICO

The constitution prohibits President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from standing again. However, given his continuing personal popularity and dominance of the ruling National…

Drugs gangs will pose increasing Chile security risks

Location:

CHILE

This affects particularly northern Chile and Santiago. It is reflected in an increase in violent crime and, in some places dominated by the cartels, a loss of state control.

Brazil evangelical 'boom' will bring political change

Location:

BRAZIL

Some projections indicate that this group could outnumber Catholics for the first time by the early 2030s. Since the late 1980s, evangelicals have become increasingly active in…

Noboa’s youthful Ecuadoran government faces challenges

Location:

ECUADOR

Rather than serving a full term, he will complete that of his predecessor, Guillermo Lasso, who took office in 2021 but stood down early, having run into congressional gridlock…

Andean crime expansion poses regional challenge

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The crisis of insecurity in Ecuador, in particular, has raised concerns in neighbouring countries about the activities of drug trafficking mafias as well as other forms of illegal…