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Downside risks to China’s growth target are mounting

Location:

CHINA

The 6.3% year-on-year growth posted for the second quarter was distorted by COVID-19 lockdowns in Shanghai and other major cities in the same period last year. Accordingly…

UK economy faces a shallow yet prolonged downturn

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…

Prospects for the euro-area to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Tourism and other customer-facing sectors are growing solidly even though above-target inflation is squeezing disposable incomes. However, strong services activity is keeping core…

Brazil economic momentum will slow in coming quarters

Location:

BRAZIL

The expansion was largely driven by a booming agricultural sector, whose output rose by 21.6%. The services sector, which accounts for around two-thirds of added value in the…