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Economic pressure will increase on Italian government

Location:

ITALY

The budget will amount to EUR24bn (USD28bn), with a deficit of 4.3% of GDP to support tax cuts and increased spending. The higher-than-expected deficit comes as economic growth…

European elections will test new Greek leftist leader

Location:

GREECE

The new leader of the left-wing Syriza party, Stefanos Kasselakis, has until then to establish himself as Greece’s leading oppositionist. He has not been helped by the…

Salvini faces a major leadership test in Italy

Location:

ITALY

The League’s support has plummeted over the past few years, compounded by poor results in regional elections earlier this year. Internal critics are also increasingly…

Nordic far right may draw some voters but deter others

Location:

SCANDINAVIA

Anna Koskela said she liked revving her car engine to scare young male immigrants from “underdeveloped countries” who ignored pedestrian crossings, describing them with a term…

Labour may struggle to maximise potential in Scotland

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The scandal has seen the party’s support drop by around 5 percentage points, opening the door for the Labour Party to gain more seats in Scotland ahead of the next UK general…

UK economy faces a shallow yet prolonged downturn

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…

Right are slight favourites ahead of Portugal election

Location:

PORTUGAL

Costa’s Socialist Party (PS), which is now led by Pedro Nuno Santos, is tied in opinion polling with the centre-right opposition Democratic Alliance (AD). The far-right Chega is…

France’s Macron shifts focus to elections

Location:

FRANCE

Macron hopes Attal can rescue his centrist alliance from a defeat by Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) in the EU elections in June. In the longer term, he has anointed…

Poland’s policy on farm protests may shift after polls

Location:

POLAND

The latest protests coincide with the Donald Tusk government’s first 100 days and scrutiny of his performance as prime minister. Most polls indicate continuing support for the…

Elections will weaken unity of German government

Location:

GERMANY

The latter’s performance was a clear indicator of its ability to expand its appeal beyond eastern states. The Social Democrats (SPD), Free Democrats (FDP) and Greens all suffered…