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Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

Location:

RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

Policy support will focus on China's property market

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CHINA

Exports and imports fell further into contraction, declining by 14.5% and 12.4% respectively in dollar terms. The consumer price index fell into negative territory, declining by…

Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

EU-China trade war over electric vehicles is unlikely

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EU/CHINA

The EU’s investigation into Chinese electric vehicles (EVs), due to suspicions of unfair subsidies and dumping practices, has raised trade-related concerns. An EU-China trade war…

Landslide win gives Putin six more years

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RUSSIA

Putin won 87% of the vote on 74% turnout, surpassing the 68% seen in 2018. Communist candidate Nikolai Kharitonov came second with just under 4%. Scattered opposition protests and…

Saudi Arabia’s investment policy will prove high-risk

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

The dividend boost will yield additional revenue for Riyadh’s budget. The government owns just over 90% of Aramco’s equity; an additional 8% is controlled by the Public Investment…

Diamond sanctions will have a modest impact on Russia

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RUSSIA

The ban will be extended by the end of the year to include diamonds polished in third countries, lab-grown diamonds, as well as jewellery and watches containing diamonds. The new…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

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RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Tax exposes fiscal challenge facing Italy’s coalition

Location:

ITALY

The measure sent bank stocks tumbling and ignited intense political debate, after which the government partially backtracked. The displays the ad-hoc nature of Meloni's economic…

Egypt will face multiple risks in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

This will make for a challenging start of President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi’s third term, after he is inevitably re-elected in December this year. Meanwhile, the government will also…