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Unwavering Republican support for Trump may be costly

Location:

UNITED STATES

US presidential primary elections have calendars and rules that change from one cycle to the next. For Republicans in 2024, changes designed to benefit Trump may allow him to wrap…

Nigeria court battle could hand ruling APC a key state

Location:

NIGERIA

President Bola Tinubu’s All Progressive Congress (APC) retained control over Imo and Kogi, while the opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) kept its hold over Bayelsa…

Nigeria's divided opposition could benefit Tinubu

Location:

NIGERIA

In addition to chronic insecurity and economic crises, he also must manage contentious party politics within the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), particularly over a…

Weak opposition will buy Nigeria's Tinubu time

Location:

NIGERIA

Nevertheless, it remains mired in many of the same basic governance and security challenges that derailed its predecessors. There is little evidence that it has a plan to address…

Hungary will struggle to mend its fiscal woes

Location:

HUNGARY

This is the lowest monthly widening since the start of 2023. Hungary aims to curb its 3.9% of GDP budget deficit in order to avoid being placed under the EU’s Excessive Deficit…

Mexico’s budgetary pressures will keep growing

Location:

MEXICO

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

South Korean politics will be less certain

Location:

SOUTH KOREA

Meanwhile, the leader of the opposition and a ruling party lawmaker have been hospitalised after serious assaults (in the former case, politically motivated). There are also…

After a strong year for Australia, growth will slow

Location:

AUSTRALIA

This figure is higher than the RBA’s forecast of 1.5%, as labour demand remains strong and business investment resumes as supply chain disruption subsides. However, persistent…

Mexico education quality to remain poor despite reform

Location:

MEXICO

They accuse the government of failing to deliver on promises made regarding contract regularisation, pay increases and benefits. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) said…

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…