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Macron faces political risks over French fiscal woes

Location:

FRANCE

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

Romanian fiscal and external deficits will remain wide

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ROMANIA

Romania is among the member states liable to the EDP. Although its debt is relatively low at 47.9% of GDP, Romania has wide budget and current account deficits, yet its tax-to-GDP…

China’s local governments will accumulate hidden debt

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CHINA

Local governments’ fiscal positions have become increasingly untenable post-pandemic amid a property market downturn. Record numbers of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs…

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

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EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Dilution of European green deal is likely

Location:

EU

Notably, she did not announce new or ongoing legislative efforts associated with the green deal. The speech was the first public sign that the Commission’s green agenda is…

Russia’s budget deficit may exceed official target

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RUSSIA

The federal budget deficit target for 2023, set at RUB2.9tn (USD35.8bn), is likely to be exceeded for the second year in a row. Federal expenditure is showing no signs of slowing…

Compromises extend G20 cooperation amid little success

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INTERNATIONAL

The compromises made by the leading players on issues such as the Ukraine war may be enough to sustain the future of the G20 as a top forum for international economic cooperation…

Hungary will struggle to mend its fiscal woes

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HUNGARY

This is the lowest monthly widening since the start of 2023. Hungary aims to curb its 3.9% of GDP budget deficit in order to avoid being placed under the EU’s Excessive Deficit…

Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

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RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

War in Ukraine will impel Kazakhstan to diversify

Location:

KAZAKHSTAN

Kazakhstan’s economy has weathered well the turbulences created by the war in Ukraine. A new context for the country’s traditional aspirations to balance and diversify economic…