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Colombia local elections to test anti-Petro sentiment

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COLOMBIA

While only sub-national positions will be contested, results will be influenced by economic and security matters at both local and national levels and, to some degree, by public…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Socio-economic cost of internet shutdowns is rising

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INTERNATIONAL

US-based digital rights watchdog Access Now recorded more internet shutdown events in 2023 than ever before. US-based non-profit Internet Society Pulse suggests that this trend…

South Africa mining slump hurts ANC election campaign

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SOUTH AFRICA

The timing is disastrous for the ruling ANC party, which faces elections in May with its support already crumbling, in part due to its poor performance on economic issues. Major…

Pressure for water access will intensify in Mexico

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MEXICO

Reducing water supplies are an established problem in the area, and recent events highlight long-term mismanagement of the water-supply infrastructure that has allowed the…

Reshuffle helps shore up Malaysian premier’s position

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MALAYSIA

The reconfiguration had been expected for months. Anwar is counting on it to help improve governing capacity and strengthen his relations with political allies. A key partner in…

Poland’s expected new government faces range of risks

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POLAND

Financial markets are betting that ending the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s eight-year rule will help unlock EU funds, strengthen Poland’s institutions and increase its…

Inflation in Eastern Europe will slow monetary easing

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EASTERN EUROPE

The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

Hungary will struggle to mend its fiscal woes

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HUNGARY

This is the lowest monthly widening since the start of 2023. Hungary aims to curb its 3.9% of GDP budget deficit in order to avoid being placed under the EU’s Excessive Deficit…

The EU’s grand coalition on climate is in peril

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EU

The vote came against the backdrop of growing opposition from centre-right politicians over the law and green deal more broadly. The NRL passed with significant amendments, which…