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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2024
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The entry into BRICS of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) -- all major importers of grain -- gives Russia an opportunity permanently to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 April 2024
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Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 April 2024
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Parallel imports have played a crucial role in securing the supply of goods for the Russian economy. The creation and management of parallel import channels is now an important…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 March 2024
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This episode could have a significant impact on South Sudan's government, which derives almost 90% of its revenue from oil.

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 January 2024
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War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The ban will be extended by the end of the year to include diamonds polished in third countries, lab-grown diamonds, as well as jewellery and watches containing diamonds. The new…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024
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The road-and-rail project, which could end up costing around USD30bn, would link deep-water ports on either side of the Kra Isthmus, in effect connecting the Andaman Sea and the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

India has refused to criticise any Israeli actions in the Gaza war, but at the same time, it has reiterated its support for a two-state solution to the wider Israeli-Palestinian…

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