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Rapid recovery will prove elusive in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

The primary surplus (0.6% of GDP) was driven by a 35% real fall in primary spending, which offset a recession-induced 4.5% drop in revenues. Month-on-month inflation has also…

Early Argentine economic successes are unsustainable

Location:

ARGENTINA

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

Colombia’s new mining law poses regulatory risks

Location:

COLOMBIA

The government proposes banning new contracts for thermal coal exploitation, shortening timeframes for mining exploration and introducing new environmental regulations that could…

Paraguayan opposition may rally against Colorado moves

Location:

PARAGUAY

The turn towards authoritarianism suggested by the case has raised alarm bells in the diplomatic community. Her expulsion has also provoked the ire of the powerful private sector…

Brazil's fiscal situation will improve gradually

Location:

BRAZIL

That followed a primary surplus equivalent to 0.5% of GDP in 2022. The negative result in 2023 was partly caused by exceptional circumstances, notably the early payment of…

Chilean government's pension 'win' will prove limited

Location:

CHILE

However, its key provision -- an increase in the system’s defined contribution -- was rejected by the Lower House. The government will have to negotiate key parts of the bill…

Pressure for water access will intensify in Mexico

Location:

MEXICO

Reducing water supplies are an established problem in the area, and recent events highlight long-term mismanagement of the water-supply infrastructure that has allowed the…

Congressional support will assist Guatemala’s Arevalo

Location:

GUATEMALA

A Constitutional Court ruling barring members of his Movimiento Semilla (Seed Movement, Semilla) from holding congressional leadership positions will constrain the party’s room…

Ecuador’s security crisis will deepen

Location:

ECUADOR

The army now has a central role in combating crime groups, 22 of which have been categorised as terrorist organisations. The move has been widely welcomed, but militarisation…

Nepotism scandal will pose reform risks in Paraguay

Location:

PARAGUAY

The move follows a mounting nepotism scandal known as ‘nepobabies’ -- the appointment without any open selection process of many close relatives as ‘advisers’ to politicians in…