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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024
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His Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) did similarly well, securing its largest-ever Senate majority and taking a majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Success was built on a strong…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024
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Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 March 2024
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The turn towards authoritarianism suggested by the case has raised alarm bells in the diplomatic community. Her expulsion has also provoked the ire of the powerful private sector…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 February 2024
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Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 February 2024
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President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The decision followed weeks of protests over the terms of the newly revised contract. Cobre Panama, located in Colon province, is Central America’s largest open-pit copper mine…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Brazil in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

After a government change in January 2023 following a process clouded by doubts over the resilience of Brazilian democracy, key institutions have strengthened their position, and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Milei met National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, while his team met the Treasury and IMF to present a structural adjustment plan. Likely Foreign Minister Diana Mondino also…

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States","url_remove":"facet-content-type=oxan-article&facet-sort-date=last-12-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22international+relations%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22","url":"facet-content-type=oxan-article&facet-sort-date=last-12-months&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22fiscal%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22international+relations%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22United+States%22"}],"V":[{"count":"1","title":"Vatican 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