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Tehran will use internal threats to rally support

Location:

IRAN

Recent clashes between security forces and ethnic minority groups living in border areas have highlighted the potential for increased domestic tensions, in an environment of…

Prospects for Turkey in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…

US plan shifts discourse on Israel-Palestinian dispute

Location:

ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS/US

His son-in-law and adviser Jared Kushner has spent over two years formulating the plan, which contains a series of proposals that heavily favour Israel, including the annexation…

Ethiopian reforms will open little new political space

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ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia's protests.

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Rabat’s maritime sector will help geopolitical aims

Location:

MOROCCO

Existing conditions facilitate this: the country's open economy is highly dependent on foreign trade, it enjoys access to Mediterranean and Atlantic routes and ongoing…

Plans for North African unity could be short-lived

Location:

NORTH AFRICA

On April 22, Tunisian President Kais Saied hosted his Algerian counterpart, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, and the head of Libya’s Presidential Council, Mohammed al-Menfi, for a trilateral…

Omani-Saudi-Emirati tensions may rise in the Gulf

Location:

GULF STATES/OMAN

Former territorial tensions between Muscat and its Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) neighbours have receded in recent decades, allowing smoother cross-border links. However, the…

Prospects for the Arab-Israeli conflict to end-2021

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for the Arab-Israeli conflict to end-2021.

Rebel moves exert pressure on Eritrea ruling regime

Location:

ERITREA

Implications for Eritrea from the defection of Ethiopian opposition group.