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Prospects for Syria to end-2018

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for Syria to end-2018.

Added US sanctions on Syria may prove self-defeating

Location:

SYRIA/US

This comes as the US Congress is finalising a bill, the Caesar Act, that would substantially increase the sanctions pressure on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s government. As…

Local fiefdoms will undermine Syrian service provision

Location:

SYRIA

Syria’s civil war is fought not just with bombs and bullets, but with salaries and services. The government has been able to win this aspect of the war by denying services to…

Trump leaves field to Putin and Erdogan in Syria

Location:

TURKEY/US/RUSSIA/SYRIA

The team includes the defence and foreign ministers, the intelligence chief and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s special adviser Ibrahim Kalin. They will visit Washington later…

Prospects for Syria to end-2019

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Syria to end-2019

Iraqi government formation could be delayed until 2023

Location:

IRAQ

The support of two-thirds of the 329 MPs is needed to back a new government. However, neither of the two main factions can garner this level of support individually, resulting in…

Iraq’s Shia parties will hawk nationalist credentials

Location:

IRAQ

The Kurdish referendum has complicated Abadi’s efforts to win reselection after provincial and national elections, expected in April 2018. Abadi -- an Arab Shia -- is vying for…

Iran-Russia rivalry for Syrian economic sway may grow

Location:

IRAN/SYRIA

Iran has been looking to build up its business ties on the ground in Syria, and views access to trade infrastructure as a key component in its plans for an integrated trade and…

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019

Location:

PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019.

Iraqi Kurdish election divisions will erode autonomy

Location:

IRAQ

Tensions have risen over the past year between the ruling Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), due to disagreements over the electoral law…