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Central Europe external risks still outweigh internal

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Investors are brushing off mounting political risks in Poland despite an erosion of democratic checks and balances under the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) government. In…

Ivorian fiscal consolidation plans face multiple risks

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IVORY COAST

Ivory Coast economic update.

Bolivia’s economy faces challenges and opportunities

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BOLIVIA

Bolivia is currently benefitting from a substantial uptick in exports which, in turn, helps boost fiscal revenues. The government is relying on public investment to raise domestic…

Populist powerbrokers will cut New Zealand migration

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NEW ZEALAND

Both English’s National Party and the main opposition Labour Party are courting the populist New Zealand First party, which is the lynchpin player for either a coalition or a…

Turkey's central bank may tighten harder later

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TURKEY

This follows the decision by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) on August 18 to keep its three main interest rates on hold. Despite the CBRT also announcing a 'road…

Italy’s new government could be short-lived

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ITALY

Their plans leave international investors and Italy’s EU partners alarmed at the risk to European integration.

Turkey looks to ride out financial assets volatility

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TURKEY

The Central Bank is expected to keep its main interest rates on hold, despite the lira continuing to fall sharply against the dollar and headline and core inflation rates that are…

Koruna is likeliest in Central Europe to rise further

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CENTRAL EUROPE

The rally in Central Europe’s currencies despite the dovish stance of most of the region’s central banks.

Italy’s woes expose euro-area governance failures

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EURO-AREA

The political uncertainty in Rome is hampering efforts to restore confidence in MPS and poses a challenge to the implementation of the EU’s controversial ‘bail-in’ rules.

Prospects for the global economy in 2017

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PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the global economy in 2017.