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Central Europe external risks still outweigh internal

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Investors are brushing off mounting political risks in Poland despite an erosion of democratic checks and balances under the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) government. In…

Central European local investors will hold on to bonds

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

The lira’s collapse is fuelling outflows from Turkey’s local currency government debt market, as foreign investors reduce their purchases of emerging market (EM) domestic debt…

Hungary will be at risk from too-loose monetary policy

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Central Europe’s resilience to EM sell-off.

China supplants Fed as main risk to EMs

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

While futures markets are assigning a 28% probability to a rate hike this month, emerging markets (EMs) are likely to remain under strain regardless of whether the Fed tightens…

Ivorian fiscal consolidation plans face multiple risks

Location:

IVORY COAST

Ivory Coast economic update.

Balkan banks will raise Greek contagion fears

Location:

EUROPE

The loan let Greece make a scheduled payment to the ECB and settle arrears to the IMF. It is part of the agreement in principle with Greece's international lenders for a third…

Populist powerbrokers will cut New Zealand migration

Location:

NEW ZEALAND

Both English’s National Party and the main opposition Labour Party are courting the populist New Zealand First party, which is the lynchpin player for either a coalition or a…

Turkey looks to ride out financial assets volatility

Location:

TURKEY

The Central Bank is expected to keep its main interest rates on hold, despite the lira continuing to fall sharply against the dollar and headline and core inflation rates that are…

Koruna is likeliest in Central Europe to rise further

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

The rally in Central Europe’s currencies despite the dovish stance of most of the region’s central banks.

Market nerves roil Turkey and Central Europe

Location:

EUROPE

Markets have taken badly the Fed's more hawkish policy guidance for 2017, not expecting such a shift in monetary policy so soon. The shift in US monetary policy comes just as the…