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The US Treasury market is vulnerable to stress

Location:

INT

The US Treasuries securities market is the world's largest and most liquid financial market, and is relied on by market participants as a basis to price other risks. However, on…

Balkan banks will raise Greek contagion fears

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EUROPE

The loan let Greece make a scheduled payment to the ECB and settle arrears to the IMF. It is part of the agreement in principle with Greece's international lenders for a third…

Turkey looks to ride out financial assets volatility

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TURKEY

The Central Bank is expected to keep its main interest rates on hold, despite the lira continuing to fall sharply against the dollar and headline and core inflation rates that are…

The ECB will set the speed of global credit tightening

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INTERNATIONAL

The ECB's plan could tip the scales towards tighter credit conditions globally. However, there are concerns about global growth -- particularly in the euro-area -- and government…

Even gradual quantitative tightening raises GDP risks

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INTERNATIONAL

Quantitative easing and GDP.

Koruna is likeliest in Central Europe to rise further

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CENTRAL EUROPE

The rally in Central Europe’s currencies despite the dovish stance of most of the region’s central banks.

Italy’s woes expose euro-area governance failures

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EURO-AREA

The political uncertainty in Rome is hampering efforts to restore confidence in MPS and poses a challenge to the implementation of the EU’s controversial ‘bail-in’ rules.

Prospects for the global economy in 2017

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PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the global economy in 2017.

Market nerves roil Turkey and Central Europe

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EUROPE

Markets have taken badly the Fed's more hawkish policy guidance for 2017, not expecting such a shift in monetary policy so soon. The shift in US monetary policy comes just as the…

Commodities rout will fuel EM concerns and volatility

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INTERNATIONAL

This drop has taken oil into its second bear market in the space of just over a year amid a broader rout in the prices of commodities, notably copper and gold. The commodity…