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Central Europe external risks still outweigh internal

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Investors are brushing off mounting political risks in Poland despite an erosion of democratic checks and balances under the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) government. In…

Hungary will be at risk from too-loose monetary policy

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Central Europe’s resilience to EM sell-off.

Balkan banks will raise Greek contagion fears

Location:

EUROPE

The loan let Greece make a scheduled payment to the ECB and settle arrears to the IMF. It is part of the agreement in principle with Greece's international lenders for a third…

The ECB will set the speed of global credit tightening

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INTERNATIONAL

The ECB's plan could tip the scales towards tighter credit conditions globally. However, there are concerns about global growth -- particularly in the euro-area -- and government…

Even gradual quantitative tightening raises GDP risks

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INTERNATIONAL

Quantitative easing and GDP.

Italy’s woes expose euro-area governance failures

Location:

EURO-AREA

The political uncertainty in Rome is hampering efforts to restore confidence in MPS and poses a challenge to the implementation of the EU’s controversial ‘bail-in’ rules.

Absence of price pressures checks central bank hawks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The impact of persistently low inflation on the pace of monetary policy 'regime change' in most countries.

Market nerves roil Turkey and Central Europe

Location:

EUROPE

Markets have taken badly the Fed's more hawkish policy guidance for 2017, not expecting such a shift in monetary policy so soon. The shift in US monetary policy comes just as the…

Central bank missteps are Emerging Europe's main risk

Location:

EUROPE

The implications of a sharp rise in foreign holdings of local currency-denominated government bonds in Emerging Europe.

Loose policy outside US will check bond sell-off

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The pace is partly being checked by continued Bank of Japan (BoJ) and ECB quantitative easing (QE). Benchmark ten-year Treasury yields have gained around 30 basis points (bp…