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Brazil's Bolsonaro will become increasingly isolated

Location:

BRAZIL

The moves raised concerns that Bolsonaro was preparing the ground for a new coup as he faced growing criticism of his mishandling of the pandemic and the economic and social…

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2019.

Ramaphosa’s government faces social relief dilemmas

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SOUTH AFRICA

The pandemic has sharpened questions about the role of South Africa's extensive social grants system in wider economic policy. In particular, emergency provisions have focused…

Prospects for Brazil to end-2021

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Brazil to end-2021.

Pandemic will force economic policy reversal in Brazil

Location:

BRAZIL

The crisis induced by the COVID-19 epidemic and social distancing measures to contain it will leave deep scars on the Brazilian economy. Still struggling to recover the ground…

Instability will rise ahead of Argentine elections

Location:

ARGENTINA

Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…

Presidential run-off will be unpredictable in Peru

Location:

PERU

This has been exacerbated by corruption scandals and, more recently, the negative socioeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. There will now be a second round of voting in…

New government will strengthen EU values in Lithuania

Location:

LITHUANIA

The Homeland Union-Christian Democrat (TS-LDK)-led government sworn in on December 11 will make no changes to Lithuania’s US- and EU-aligned and anti-Moscow foreign policy. The…

Costa Rica’s pandemic response faces political hurdles

Location:

COSTA RICA

In August, it asked the IMF for a USD1.75bn credit under the Extended Fund Facility. This will come on top of the USD504mn approved by the IMF for emergency financial assistance…

US Social Security funds to run out ahead of schedule

Location:

UNITED STATES

Demographic pressures from an ageing society weigh less heavily on the United States than many other economies but they are now placing stress on a Social Security system that…