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COVID-19 and oil shocks raise Gulf recession risks

Location:

GULF STATES

Lower oil and gas revenues are the major transmission channel of the global crisis to regional economies, but tourism, financial and professional services are also taking a major…

Poland's economic outlook will be uncertain under PiS

Location:

POLAND

Amid an ongoing constitutional crisis, the Law and Justice (PiS) government, which was sworn into office on November 16, has been busy revising fiscal targets and agreeing draft…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…

Financial market volatility will linger and may worsen

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Equities, bonds, cash and gold all suffered outflows in the week ending May 11, according to data provider EPFR Global. More worryingly, the sell-off in equities has spread to the…

US tax bill impact depends on how savings are invested

Location:

UNITED STATES

Business impact of US tax reform.

Turkey's economic policy shift is not worth the risks

Location:

TURKEY

The lira’s collapse has only fortified President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s adherence to unorthodox low-interest-rate policies. Rather than changing course, Erdogan has publicly…

The dollar will determine emerging market asset moves

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Emerging market asset gyrations.

Overheating may tighten Central Europe monetary policy

Location:

CZECH/HUNGARY

The meetings are expected to provide forward guidance on monetary policy. With consumer prices reaching a five-and-a-half year high in Hungary and a seven-month high in the Czech…

'Brexit' could hinder long-term UK growth

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Depending on the outcome, the United Kingdom's relation with its largest trading partner may be at risk, together with the City of London's role as a financial hub and the ability…

Higher private financing could boost mining investment

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Private mining finance.