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The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.

Hungary’s Orban will probably survive Bicske scandal

Location:

HUNGARY

Fidesz has suffered three high-profile political casualties following the presidential pardon for Endre Konya, who tried to cover up for a child abuser: President Katalin Novak…

Finland election likely to see centre-left government

Location:

FINLAND

Finland looks set to be the next euro-area country to see the ousting of a government made unpopular by austerity and low growth, in favour of an opposition force. However, the…

Price protests may not bring down Azerbaijani regime

Location:

AZERBAIJAN

Authorities took too long to adjust the exchange-rate regime under pressure from falling oil prices, wasting resources that could have been used to shore up the banking sector…

Canada is well-placed to meet defence spending targets

Location:

CANADA

Spending on the Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) rose in the 2021 budget despite fears that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government would scale back military expenditure to fund…

Italy's Renzi will face critical tests before year-end

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ITALY

This is a crucial step for the government before year-end, together with long-term banking issues and slowing economic recovery. The European Commission has allowed Italy…

Inadequate policies will deepen Mexico COVID-19 blow

Location:

MEXICO

A lack of testing may have led to an underestimation of infections, but with a population of 130 million, Mexico appears relatively unscathed by the pandemic so far. The virus…

South Africa vaccine plan will struggle to convince

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

President Cyril Ramaphosa's government has been criticised for tardy and inefficient vaccine procurement, as well as lack of transparency and accountability. It has recently…

Ukraine crisis will muddy eastern EU energy transition

Location:

EU

Higher energy prices and, as war rages in Ukraine, the politicisation of sources of supply are highlighting weaknesses, and some strengths, in the energy systems of the eleven…

Second COVID-19 wave will test Madagascar’s Rajoelina

Location:

MADAGASCAR

However, with a second wave underway and the mining and tourism sectors -- key foreign exchange earners -- upended, he recently changed tack, authorising an immunisation programme…