Search results

Central Europe migrant rights could hamper UK/EU deal

Location:

UK/CENTRAL EUROPE

Cameron has revealed details of his EU reform agenda, after weeks of whistle-stop tours, including meetings with all the 'Visegrad Four' (V4 -- Czech, Hungarian, Polish and…

Slower Polish growth may upset 2019 budget targets

Location:

POLAND

With a two-year electoral cycle getting under way, the PiS government may be tempted to increase social spending. The stronger-than-expected economic outturn in the first half of…

Cost-of-living crisis will not hurt Hungary’s rulers

Location:

HUNGARY

The largest annual rise was for food, by 30.9% (3.3% month-on-month). Many Hungarians are expecting their living standards to decline, with costs rising also for some public…

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

Location:

EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

UK government’s fiscal plans are not sustainable

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Despite the short-term improvement in the fiscal position, the budget does not make major changes to macroeconomic policy or reverse planned tax increases. Instead, the government…

Italy’s government may be more durable than expected

Location:

ITALY

Contrary to expectations created by past tensions between the coalition partners -- the far-right League and the anti-establishment Five Star Movement (M5S) -- and by several 'own…

ECB QE and growth may obscure Polish political risk

Location:

POLAND

Having fallen against the resurgent dollar this year, the zloty has lately been strengthening, since the US Federal Reserve surprised financial markets by striking a more dovish…

Germany’s coalition will be bound together by weakness

Location:

GERMANY

This comes only days after the government resolved a dispute around the former head of the domestic intelligence agency, Hans-Georg Maassen. This conflict was the second in just…

Fast growth will support Central European asset prices

Location:

EUROPE

The muted impact on Central Europe’s financial markets of this month’s sharp declines in asset prices in Russia and Turkey.

Greek coalition will start to fray in late 2018

Location:

GREECE

The coalition government of left-wing Syriza and right-wing nationalist Independent Greeks (Anel) significantly lags behind the conservative opposition New Democracy (ND) party in…