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Somali regional election portends unstable status quo

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SOMALIA

Impact of the recent Jubaland regional election.

France will struggle to refocus its Sahel strategy

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FRANCE

Although France officially highlights the multilateral, multidimensional aspects of its operations in the Sahel, in practice the emphasis is on 'kinetic' operations and body…

Tanzania’s president may consolidate her control

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TANZANIA

This appears to be yet another signal of her resolve to tame her critics within the government and party, notably among loyalists of former President John Magufuli.

South Africa faces long-term threats to stability

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SOUTH AFRICA

This reflects concerns over systemic corruption, high-level impunity, ruling party dysfunction, growing criminality and violence and infrastructure failures, among other…

Fake news will grow in influence in West Africa

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WEST AFRICA

Meta (formerly Facebook) has publicly identified both Russian and French involvement in regional disinformation efforts. However, West Africa's 'influence industry' comprises…

Ngoh Ngoh may benefit from Cameroon murder case

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CAMEROON

Eko Eko has been imprisoned since February on suspicion of being one of the masterminds of the January 2023 assassination of radio journalist Martinez Zogo, an affair that has…

Prisoner affair may deepen Mali's diplomatic isolation

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MALI

The contingent’s three women were released on ‘humanitarian grounds’ in September but the entire contingent was convicted on December 30 and sentenced to 20 years in prison, with…

Ethiopian Nile waters will muddy regional rivalries

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ETHIOPIA

This comes at a time when Ethio-Egyptian competition over the Nile has intensified once more. The Nile is vital to both countries: water for the livelihoods of the concentrated…

Political value of social media will rise in Africa

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AFRICA

Relatively low internet penetration rates (an average of 40% across the continent) and stark differences in digital access within and across states mask social media’s increasing…

Angola's MPLA will struggle to contain discontent

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ANGOLA

This follows the August 24 elections in which the ruling People's Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) won 51% of the vote, beating its main rival the National Union for…