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Abu Dhabi will leverage post-UNSC soft power

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

It struggled with this goal during two turbulent years that saw permanent UNSC members divided over significant conflicts. Nonetheless, the UAE was an engaged Security Council…

Russia will struggle to expand West Africa gold mining

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WEST AFRICA

More recently, this has involved widely publicised claims that Russia is skirting international sanctions by using African gold from mines seized by proxy forces to help finance…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

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GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Regional tensions threaten West African food security

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WEST AFRICA

This could worsen to an estimated 49.5 million people by mid-year as the lean season sets in between harvests. Meanwhile, over 100 million people could face food insecurity if…

Abu Dhabi’s Africa outreach will accelerate

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

State-owned company Abu Dhabi Ports (ADP) is also prominent in the continent’s maritime sector, with agreements to operate ports in Angola and Congo-Brazzaville. The UAE’s…

Frente Amplio merger will not solve Chile challenges

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CHILE

The FA, led by President Gabriel Boric, has suffered several important setbacks since he took office in March 2022.

Chinese firms will expand presence in South-east Asia

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CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

South-east Asia maintained its position as the largest recipient (40%) of China’s total Asia-Pacific engagement, which was valued at USD14.8bn, up USD12.4bn from 2022. In recent…

Appetite for African minerals may boost infrastructure

Location:

AFRICA

Mineral exports from the Central African Copperbelt in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Zambia are rising and existing export routes via South Africa do not have the…

Somalia-Turkey pact adds to growing regional tensions

Location:

SOMALIA/TURKEY

This comes shortly after Ethiopia and Somaliland in January signed a deal offering Ethiopia a naval base in Somaliland in exchange for Ethiopia’s recognition of Somaliland as a…