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Strains of war are beginning to show in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

China and South Korea will disengage as ties sour

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CHINA/SOUTH KOREA

Seoul in June accused China’s ambassador of violating diplomatic protocols and interfering in South Korea's internal affairs. Later that month, Seoul cleared the way for full…

Climate adaptation action to strengthen globally

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INTERNATIONAL

This is likely to be the first indicator of a push to drive adaptation up the political agenda in 2024.

The Supreme Court will foster US polarisation

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UNITED STATES

Although public confidence in the Court is falling, there is little chance that Congress will impose any structural changes, or even a code of conduct. Further conservative…

Guinea's junta may face growing discontent

Location:

GUINEA

The explosion caused extensive damage in Conakry’s Kaloum peninsula, killing at least 25 people and injuring 454, with many remaining unaccounted for. Fallout from the disaster…

Allies’ Pyongyang visit highlights policy anomalies

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NORTH KOREA

The first foreign groups allowed into North Korea since 2019, they toured an arms exhibition and watched a military parade. These featured nuclear-capable missiles banned under UN…

Kim's health is the worst of North Korea's many risks

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NORTH KOREA

No UN condemnation ensued. Separately, South Korean intelligence claims that supreme leader Kim Jong-un’s health has worsened again.

Prospects for India to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Meanwhile, the country will be aiming to keep up its status as one of the fastest-growing economies. In September, Delhi’s Pragati Maidan complex will be the venue for the…

Lebanese health and education woes risk instability

Location:

LEBANON

This is having highly negative economic and social consequences, with problematic implications for long-term growth and stability. The country’s already extreme inequality is…