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Low interest rates may be the new normal

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Modelling lower rates for longer.

Lower rates will return, amplify and raise challenges

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INTERNATIONAL

The identification of the impact of wars and pandemics on interest rates has been difficult for lack of data. Recent research efforts have overcome this. Pandemics tend to push…

Stagnant productivity to hold back global wages growth

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INTERNATIONAL

Trends in wages growth.

Catastrophe bond market is set for strong growth

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INTERNATIONAL

As an alternative source of capital to traditional reinsurance, catastrophe (cat) bond issuance, a securitised type of insurance against catastrophe-linked losses, is reaching new…

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

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EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

US demographic change will have broad economic effects

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UNITED STATES

This has implications for the size of the workforce and the living standards that the US economy is capable of supporting. It will also have broader consequences for the US…

Canada's economy will affect political outlook in 2024

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CANADA

The economy has not grown in the past two quarters and, on a per capita basis, has declined for six consecutive quarters. With the Bank of Canada ruling out interest rate cuts…

Rise in capital inflows may not endure in Brazil

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BRAZIL

Rising interest rates and commodity prices, and cheap stock market assets have been key factors in attracting capital. As a result, the real appreciated from around BRL5.7:USD1 in…

More nations will issue ultra-long sovereign bonds

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INTERNATIONAL

Ultra-long government bonds.

Turkey's return to economic orthodoxy may waver

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TURKEY

The statement implies that a return to economic orthodoxy is likely, following two years of unorthodox policies built around Erdogan’s preference for low interest rates. The…