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Mixed messaging will undermine US foreign policy

Location:

UNITED STATES

US officials struggle to normalise Washington’s international agenda as the Trump administration looks inward

Venezuela border pressures will mount

Location:

VENEZUELA

Border closures risk clogging a safety valve but migrant outflows will continue

Latin American flashpoints have small spillover risk

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LATIN AMERICA

Poverty, political tensions and crime make Latin American instability endemic but contained

Qatar’s ‘independent’ foreign policy will be costly

Location:

QATAR

The crisis in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has radically upset Doha’s foreign relations

Congo’s siege tactics may fail to bring stability

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

Two of the country’s conflict-affected eastern provinces have been placed under military control

African coup risk will be regionally concentrated

Location:

AFRICA

Gabon and Niger have both experienced coups this year, raising concerns over wider coup risks

Syria’s complex conflicts show states have the edge

Location:

SYRIA

A resurgent Damascus and increasingly committed foreign interventions are squeezing out non-state actors

Key risks and opportunities in 2016: 1

Location:

INTL

The new year promises geopolitical complexity and volatility for businesses and investors alike

Russia will mix strength and caution to seek respect

Location:

RUSSIA

Moscow’s relationships with allies and adversaries are coloured by its interventions in Ukraine and Syria 

Saudi Arabia, Iran will determine Syrian war's outcome

Location:

MENA

Russia has bolstered an Iranian-led bloc fighting to ensure the Assad regime's survival