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Lower near-term EM risks raise long-run opportunities

Location:

INT

The near-term risk of defaults in emerging market (EM) sovereign debt markets is easing

AI augmentation and automation will alter job markets

Location:

INT

AI will lift global economic productivity over the coming decades, but also transform labour markets

Chinese-made electric cars will attract Western wrath

Location:

INT

Chinese-manufactured BEVs are cheaper than Western models, accounting for nearly 10% of EU sales and 50% of imports

Wealth shifts across ages will exacerbate inequalities

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INT

Huge wealth transfers from those currently over 60 to the under-60s in the coming decades will have broad implications

This downturn will be more job-rich than past slumps

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INT

Employment recovered far faster from the pandemic global recession than past crises, and remains historically strong

Turning AI lead into gains will test policymakers

Location:

INT

All major countries are racing to deploy artificial intelligence, but their national strengths vary markedly

Taiwan will be at pains to retain diplomatic allies

Location:

TAIWAN

Taipei has lost diplomatic ally Nauru to Beijing and relations with Tuvalu were uncertain following recent elections

The world economic downturn will be mild but prolonged

Location:

INT

Core CPI is easing towards 2% official targets in major nations, but not fast enough for rate cuts to boost 2024 growth

African states will struggle to increase revenue

Location:

AFRICA

The average tax intake of African countries remains markedly low

Demography could time-limit China's ascendancy

Location:

INT

Sizeable economic and population shifts will occur among the largest economies in coming decades