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Development risks augur demographic nightmare in India

Location:

INDIA

GDP growth and social spending are beginning to diverge again... Since 2011-12, fiscal consolidation has moved apace

London’s large economic lead over EU cities may narrow

Location:

INT

Global power and financial centres indices for 2017 show London maintains a huge lead over other EU cities

Resisting reform will make Greece the bailout laggard

Location:

EUROPE

Ireland, Cyprus, Spain have left Greece well behind in emerging from crisis and Portugal has outperformed it since 2012

Concerns over rule of law will rise post-pandemic

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Latin America scores poorly on global assessments of both corruption perceptions and judicial independence

Debt crisis risks are growing in many emerging markets

Location:

EMERGING MARKETS

Many emerging markets, whether eligible for the G20 debt relief schemes or not, could follow Sri Lanka into debt default

A China crisis is bigger systemic threat than markets

Location:

INT

China’s influence on the global real economy is a bigger risk than events in fragile Italy, Turkey and Argentina