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EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

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EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

China’s economic targets will get trickier to achieve

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CHINA

The GDP growth target of 5% and the urban job creation target of 12 million are unchanged from last year, but harder to achieve as the post-pandemic rebound fades and large-scale…

North Caucasus will remain under Moscow's control

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RUSSIA

Russia has managed to ensure relative order and stability in the region in recent years, with transfers from the federal budget helping tame local opposition groups that…

China’s economic model will evolve

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CHINA

President Xi Jinping first used the concept on an inspection visit in Heilongjiang province in September 2023. The NPF concept recognises that China's existing growth model cannot…

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

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EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

Japan will be a policy pioneer for advanced nations

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INTERNATIONAL

It took policymakers decades to tackle the consequences of the market crash, partly due to conservative caution; this experience has encouraged other states to be more…

China’s property downturn resolution will take years

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CHINA

The housing market is experiencing its largest downturn, triggered by government action in 2020 to limit financial risks from the property sector by introducing debt ceilings for…

US colleges are under political and financial pressure

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UNITED STATES

The move by non-tenure-track faculty and post-doctoral researchers came two months after Claudine Gay resigned under pressure as the university’s president. The two developments…

Internationalisation of China’s renminbi will be slow

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CHINA

Specifically, China would enhance infrastructural and institutional mechanisms for cross-border transfers, as well as boost the currency’s role in driving the real economy and…

Low savings limit Japanese spending and GDP growth

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JAPAN

The economy slowed sharply in the second half of 2023. Consumption is lower than a decade ago, as a consequence of population ageing and insufficient savings, which reflects a…