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Demography and past austerity raise the COVID-19 risks

Location:

INT

COVID-19 particularly threatens the elderly; ageing populations and years of post-crisis austerity leave nations at risk

Global spending needs will undermine austerity call

Location:

INT

The IMF urges “decisive fiscal consolidation” to guard public budgets and rebuild buffers, but spending needs will rise

'Brexit' and 'Grexit' risk collision in May

Location:

EURO-AREA

Europe's political risk will be highest in May, just as the UK general election raises the prospect of 'Brexit'

Rising Argentina poverty brings long-term challenges

Location:

ARGENTINA

Urban poverty rose from 40.1% in the first half of 2023 to 41.7% in the second, with indigence up from 9.3% to 11.9%

Resisting reform will make Greece the bailout laggard

Location:

EUROPE

Ireland, Cyprus, Spain have left Greece well behind in emerging from crisis and Portugal has outperformed it since 2012

Economy will be top priority for Pakistan’s government

Location:

PAKISTAN

Over a month after the general election, a new cabinet is in place

Germany’s political fragmentation will deepen

Location:

GERMANY

Three new parties have been launched in Germany since the start of this year

Caribbean countries face looming challenges

Location:

CARIBBEAN

After strong post-pandemic recovery in many countries, growth will slow this year and next

Key risks and opportunities in 2016: 2

Location:

INTL

The pace of US monetary policy normalisation and China's slowdown will be key determinants of 2016 growth

Argentina poll results show diffusion of power

Location:

ARGENTINA

Claims of victory from both governing Cambiemos and opposition Unidad Ciudadana are exaggerated