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Economic pressure will increase on Italian government

Location:

ITALY

The budget will amount to EUR24bn (USD28bn), with a deficit of 4.3% of GDP to support tax cuts and increased spending. The higher-than-expected deficit comes as economic growth…

Low savings limit Japanese spending and GDP growth

Location:

JAPAN

The economy slowed sharply in the second half of 2023. Consumption is lower than a decade ago, as a consequence of population ageing and insufficient savings, which reflects a…

Milei risks rapid loss of Argentina political capital

Location:

ARGENTINA

President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…

Dutch parties will find it hard to reject Wilders

Location:

NETHERLANDS

Wilders has attempted to moderate his positions to attract potential coalition partners. He will need the support of the centre-right Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and New…

Argentina's Milei shifts to foreign policy pragmatism

Location:

ARGENTINA

Milei met National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, while his team met the Treasury and IMF to present a structural adjustment plan. Likely Foreign Minister Diana Mondino also…

Russia-China military ties will progress slowly

Location:

RUSSIA/CHINA

Although Russia and China have been moving towards closer cooperation throughout the post-Soviet era, the trend accelerated after 2014. The China-Russia partnership raises the…

Indian edtech sector faces full shake-out

Location:

INDIA

Flagging that uncertainty is the difficulty facing market leader Byju’s. The firm’s problems seem endless: inability to meet debt service commitments, legal battles over…

Strains of war are beginning to show in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

Taiwan focus is on defence and third force politics

Location:

TAIWAN

The arms will be taken directly from US stockpiles. China is the central factor in campaigning for Taiwan’s 2024 presidential elections. However, a strong showing by a third-party…

Tunisia will walk a financial tightrope

Location:

TUNISIA

The president has repeatedly rejected the idea of resuming negotiations with the international lender. Instead, he aims gradually to reduce dependence on external financing from…