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Eastern EU's competitiveness hinges on institutions

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EASTERN EUROPE

Eastern EU countries are facing long-term development challenges related to institutional capacity and the quality of governance, in addition to more immediate concerns about…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

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RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

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EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

Equity markets are more vulnerable than bond markets

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INT

The scope for looser policy remains uncertain given persistent inflationary pressures and the strength of the US labour market, while financial conditions are easier than when the…

Energy spending plans signpost more market volatility

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INTERNATIONAL

In advanced economies, despite progress on the green transition, insulation from fossil fuel market volatility remains a distant prospect. Limited clean energy investment in the…

Prospects for the global economy in H2 2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Labour and housing markets are slowing very gradually, but the strength of services is preventing a faster fall in headline inflation. The pass-through effects of interest-rate…

Mozambique poll controversies may produce volatility

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MOZAMBIQUE

The vote was seen as a test for the ruling Frelimo party, whose popularity has suffered greatly amid mounting economic and political difficulties. However, the contest devolved…

Prospects for the global economy in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Weak trade and fiscal policy constraints suggest global GDP growth will slow somewhat in 2024, with China and the United States losing momentum. Hopes for growth-boosting rate…

Corporate risk management will include social media

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INT

Like public companies that became 'meme stocks' over the past two years, banks are learning that social media is now a matter of risk management more than marketing. Few but the…

End of post-1945 economic order bodes ill for growth

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INTERNATIONAL

The system of international institutions to promote cooperation and open trade was built on the political preferences of a group of the world's wealthiest states. Over time, the…