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Tourism to drive Belize economic growth amid slowdown

Location:

BELIZE

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

Eased travel to China will have limited success

Location:

CHINA

Measures include relaxed visa requirements and improved payment options. Visitors from some European and South-east Asian countries have joined a group of 17 other countries that…

Croatia will likely shift further to the right

Location:

CROATIA

The HDZ has begun preliminary coalition talks with the far-right Homeland Movement, which finished in third place. The election has exacerbated deep tensions between Prime…

Taiwan-China tensions will continue to rise

Location:

TAIWAN/CHINA

In an apparent expansion of its claims in the Taiwan Strait, China has responded by increasing patrols near Kinmen. The Chinese coast guard on February 19 boarded a Taiwanese…

Court ruling entrenches Uganda anti-homosexuality act

Location:

UGANDA

The ruling leaves Uganda at odds with Western donors that have criticised the law and leaves Uganda’s LGBT community facing the prospect of potentially intensifying persecution.

Drug trafficking will worsen insecurity in Costa Rica

Location:

COSTA RICA

Security officials blame the spike in violence on the influence of drug trafficking organisations (DTOs), which have long transited the country but which increasingly are vying to…

China’s exports will recover but trade sanctions loom

Location:

CHINA

Chinese exports grew by 7.1% year-on-year in US dollar terms, while imports expanded by 3.5%. The trade gap narrowed to USD39.7bn in February. Export growth was buoyed by rapid…

Thailand will pursue a more proactive foreign policy

Location:

THAILAND

Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

Tough economic challenges await Taiwan president-elect

Location:

TAIWAN

The election in January of Lai Ching-te as president signalled continuity in economic policy, and economic pressure from Beijing has to date had limited effect. However, Lai faces…

Cape Verde: Reform agenda may face pushback

Location:

CAPE VERDE

The elections are likely to be organised in November. The MpD currently holds 14 of 22 municipalities. The elections will take place at a moment when the government is set to take…