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Balance sheet wars will fire up among central banks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

A look at the likely divergence of monetary policies around the world

Global monetary policy divergence will be key in 2016

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The Fed has just hiked rates for the first time in nine years, while both the ECB and the BoJ have eased policy further

Global governance reform will be hard in the Trump era

Location:

INT

Voting at international financial institutions does not reflect GDP trends, leaving emerging markets with little voice

Italy’s fragility is Europe’s biggest risk into 2018

Location:

ITALY

Elections must be held by May 2018, against a backdrop of subdued growth prospects, indebted banks and rising refugees

A China crisis is bigger systemic threat than markets

Location:

INT

China’s influence on the global real economy is a bigger risk than events in fragile Italy, Turkey and Argentina

Libya political agreement will need time to bear fruit

Location:

LIBYA

The West is more actively involved in solving Libya's political divisions

Stimulating skills is key to emerging markets growth

Location:

INT

Human capital will become as key to low-to-mid-income countries as it is for high-income ones

Rising debt will expose Africa to interest rate shocks

Location:

AFRICA

Debt has risen to dangerous proportions; costlier payments will constrain indebted countries as monetary policy tightens

Vulnerability deepens East African food crisis risks

Location:

EAST AFRICA

Increasingly frequent droughts combine with conflict and market disruptions to heighten the risk of regional food crises

Latin America: Corruption complications

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Corruption impact varies across Latin America, on both citizens and business