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Ambitious plans set China's course to 2049

Location:

CHINA

Long-term goals shape thinking of current policymakers in and outside China despite vulnerability to 'black swans'

Demographic change will put pressure on Europe

Location:

EUROPE

Societies are growing older, creating challenges for welfare systems and economies

Political system will limit liberalisation in Iran

Location:

IRAN

Hardline conservatives have lost key elections to moderates -- but they still hold the balance of power

Next Greek elections will be hard to call

Location:

GREECE

The Greek election system is alternating between simple and reinforced proportional representation with bonus seats

Constitutional changes may spur African unrest

Location:

AFRICA

Recent attempts to alter constitutions have triggered unrest in sub-Saharan Africa, but that may not always be the case

Population boom to raise Africa's food-shock risks

Location:

EAST AFRICA

Regional food security faces long-term pressures from climate change and population growth

Spending patterns portend permanent economic changes

Location:

INT

Services spending shows little sign of recovering, exacerbating the inflationary imbalances in durable goods and energy

Germany’s new government will have a weak base

Location:

GERMANY

Germany’s policy direction and decision-making will be more contested following the election results

Many developing nations risk missing climate targets

Location:

INT

The IEA says that energy spending needs to more than double, and to surge in developing nations, to meet climate goals

Islamic State will prepare for the next phase

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

As the salafi-jihadist group loses its territorial ‘caliphate’ in Syria and Iraq, it is redeploying fighters and funds