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Tight US job market will keep monetary policy tight

Location:

UNITED STATES

Despite fears of a recession, the US economy continues to add jobs and employers report difficulties attracting and retaining workers. Wage growth is decelerating fitfully…

Bond and stock trends diverge on 2024 outlook

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

This is driving a rally in government bonds and equities. However, labour markets remain tight, fuelling wage growth and keeping services inflation above central banks’ 2…

India eyes more foreign investment in space industry

Location:

INDIA

In late August, they landed near the lunar south pole. India thereby became the fourth country to achieve a soft landing on the moon, and the first to do so in the lunar south…

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

Location:

INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

Equity markets are more vulnerable than bond markets

Location:

INT

The scope for looser policy remains uncertain given persistent inflationary pressures and the strength of the US labour market, while financial conditions are easier than when the…

Interest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds

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INTERNATIONAL

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…

Gulf states will reinforce investment strategies

Location:

GULF STATES

US banking stress reinforces risks for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), although they are not significantly exposed to global banks directly. GCC SWFs…

Immigration is key to US job market and economic plans

Location:

UNITED STATES

Behind this workforce expansion is higher immigration that has allowed considerably more new jobs without raising real wages. Immigration explains some of the strength in…

Oman's LNG exports will increase as oil plateaus

Location:

OMAN

Previously, in January, the energy ministry announced it was offering three new oil and gas concessions. Muscat wants to engage private companies in efforts to unearth fresh…

Varying economic performance metrics muddy the outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…