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Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

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RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

Turkey plans for competitive industries, lower imports

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TURKEY

Development plans define what constitutes mainstream social and economic policy in Ankara. This plan lays out the intentions of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and…

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

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EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Poland, Czechia and Hungary may join euro, but not yet

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EASTERN EUROPE

The Denkov administration that took office in June has set adopting the euro as a top priority, and blames the previous interim government for Bulgaria’s unpreparedness to join…

Bolivia political divisions will deepen pre-elections

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BOLIVIA

Despite temporary respite over the issue of judicial elections, splits within the ruling Movement towards Socialism (MAS) are set to continue.

Dutch parties will find it hard to reject Wilders

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NETHERLANDS

Wilders has attempted to moderate his positions to attract potential coalition partners. He will need the support of the centre-right Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and New…

Swedish minority government will hold together for now

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SWEDEN

Curbing immigration is a central element in the agreement between the minority government and the far-right Sweden Democrats (SD) to secure their support in parliament. One year…

Slovak-Hungarian entente will not affect Western unity

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SLOVAKIA

The programme includes halting official military aid to Ukraine, as incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico promised during the election campaign. Recent elections in Central Europe…

Mexico’s poverty approach will prolong mixed results

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MEXICO

The paper highlights the labour system’s role in perpetuating poverty in Mexico, where more than half of the economically active population is poor despite being employed. The…

Spain will pursue a ‘progressive’ policy agenda

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SPAIN

The government’s headline policy promises are to be financed by higher taxes and EU funds, while observing the EU's excessive deficit limit. The government’s most contentious and…