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Vaccination has plateaued in some eastern EU states

Location:

EU

Recent slowdown in vaccination rates in parts of eastern EU could signal problems ahead for protecting populations fully

Washington will sustain military focus on Africa

Location:

AFRICA

Despite signalling a pending shift, the Pentagon’s plans in Africa reflect continuity more than change

Widening wealth disparities will drive populist voting

Location:

INT

Wealth is more unequal than incomes; countries with stable or falling income inequality will increasingly address wealth

Budget and climate pressures affect the growth outlook

Location:

INT

OECD economies will be under increasing strain to decarbonise while also keeping their budget balances sustainable

Little scope for much-needed rise in budget spending

Location:

INT

High demands on increasingly strained public budgets are fuelling fiscal sustainability fears and bond market sell-offs

Party Congress will extend Xi's power

Location:

CHINA

Xi Jinping is expected to begin a third term as leader of the Communist Party at the Party Congress next month

East African rail links may miss their connections

Location:

EAST AFRICA

An ambitious plan for a trans-regional railway is unravelling, as funding shortfalls collide with mounting debt

US sanctions will increase Iran’s dependence on China

Location:

IRAN

A resurgence in global investment deals and oil exports after the 2015 nuclear agreement has left Tehran vulnerable

German election could bring change of coalition

Location:

GERMANY

Chancellor Merkel has a good chance of staying in power, but possibly with different coalition partners

Egypt’s foreign policy will be a balancing act

Location:

EGYPT

Cairo’s anti-Islamism jars with chief backer Saudi Arabia, but brings it closer to the United Arab Emirates and Russia