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US allies will worry about Trump's Asia policies

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UNITED STATES

Democrats and Republicans largely share the assessment that China poses the greatest challenge to US interests globally. The Biden administration retained Trump’s strong tariff…

The entwining of tariffs and US politics will continue

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UNITED STATES

With trade policy, particularly towards China, likely to have an unusually high-profile role in this year’s presidential election, there is a growing awareness of the extent to…

Nigeria intel failures will hinder counter-terrorism

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NIGERIA

Although criticisms targeting the DSS are long-standing, no recent Nigerian government has attempted major intelligence reforms.

South Korea may seek nuclear weapons

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SOUTH KOREA

Yoon had controversially raised that prospect a year ago. Han Dong-hoo -- head of Yoon’s conservative ruling People Power Party (PPP), and a likely future presidential contender…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Biden is embedding foreign policy in re-election bid

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US

Biden gave unusual prominence to foreign policy topics when laying out his main priorities for this year. Emphasising differences on foreign policy will be a central aspect of his…

Trump AI policy would prioritise US-China competition

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US

Congressional gridlock has hitherto left the White House leading on US AI policy. On the campaign trail for November’s presidential election, the prospective Republican nominee…

Turkey’s president will eye Istanbul battle

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TURKEY

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is determined to win the city back from the opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP). With a population of over 16 million, Istanbul accounts for…

China’s economic targets will get trickier to achieve

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CHINA

The GDP growth target of 5% and the urban job creation target of 12 million are unchanged from last year, but harder to achieve as the post-pandemic rebound fades and large-scale…

India will be vigilant but not worried about al-Qaida

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INDIA

The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…