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EU/UK financial trading risks need close monitoring

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EU/UK

Hedge funds are systemically important participants in financial markets and their preference for leverage amplifies their impact, especially when interest rate changes prompt…

Algeria's central bank will press ahead with reforms

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ALGERIA

The initiative follows the passage of a new monetary and banking law in June that enhanced the central bank’s independence, which included authorisation for it to introduce…

Chile's poverty progress will be difficult to sustain

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CHILE

The report provides the first comprehensive picture of the evolution of poverty rates and income distribution since the social uprising that erupted in the country in late 2019…

Geopolitical rifts benefit South-east Asia tech sector

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

However, as the major technology producers attempt to diversify and reconfigure their supply chains -- particularly to redirect investment away from China -- interest in…

Omani fiscal plans will depend on social impact

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OMAN

Leading international credit ratings agencies had upgraded their outlook for Oman in early 2023. Positive reviews reflect the sultanate’s improved financial performance in 2022…

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

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TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…

AI's promise and pitfalls will affect key domains

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INT

AI promises to drive economic efficiencies across sectors, improve the delivery of critical services such as healthcare, democratise access to knowledge and skills, and tighten…

Drug trafficking will worsen insecurity in Costa Rica

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COSTA RICA

Security officials blame the spike in violence on the influence of drug trafficking organisations (DTOs), which have long transited the country but which increasingly are vying to…

ECB balance sheet reduction raises fragmentation risks

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INTERNATIONAL

At USD8.3tn, the ECB’s balance sheet is on a par with that of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). To date, the ECB's QT has focused on banks repaying loans taken from the ECB since 2019…

Fed balance sheet reduction should progress smoothly

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UNITED STATES

The Fed will cut the balance sheet by USD95bn per month by not reinvesting the proceeds of maturing Treasury bonds and agency-backed mortgage bonds. When the Fed reduced the…