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Book part
Publication date: 13 November 2023

Sam Frankel and Caroline E. Whalley

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Learning Allowed
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80117-401-5

Book part
Publication date: 16 October 2003

Michele Fratianni

This paper reviews the thirteen-year record of Open Economies Review (OER), an economics journal specializing in issues of the open economy, both at the micro and macro levels. It…

Abstract

This paper reviews the thirteen-year record of Open Economies Review (OER), an economics journal specializing in issues of the open economy, both at the micro and macro levels. It first examines the journal’s output – defined by number and type of articles published, location of the authors’ institutional affiliation, recurrent themes, and rejection rates – and then critically assesses the development of big themes in international economics and finance, where OER authors have made a contribution. The main conclusion is that national border represents a big constraint to the expansion of the open economy, a point not lost by OER authors.

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Leadership in International Business Education and Research
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-84950-224-5

Book part
Publication date: 23 December 2005

Colm Kearney and Cal Muckley

We study up to 27 years of weekly data on nine currencies to examine the importance of the Japanese yen in exchange rate determination in North and Southeast Asia. We combine a…

Abstract

We study up to 27 years of weekly data on nine currencies to examine the importance of the Japanese yen in exchange rate determination in North and Southeast Asia. We combine a time-varying methodology alongside a focus on long-run equilibrium. Our findings suggest that the Japanese yen had virtually no influence on Asian exchange rates in the 10-year period prior to the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s. Since the crisis, the yen and the German mark in particular have exerted a significant influence over the region's exchange rates except for the Chinese yuan, the Hong Kong dollar and the Malaysian ringgit, which continue to be closely related to the US dollar.

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Asia Pacific Financial Markets in Comparative Perspective: Issues and Implications for the 21st Century
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-76231-258-0

Book part
Publication date: 3 June 2021

Sovik Mukherjee

There is a rich literature which states that India did not suffer much from the impacts of the US financial crisis, but there is a school of thought which believes that the idea…

Abstract

There is a rich literature which states that India did not suffer much from the impacts of the US financial crisis, but there is a school of thought which believes that the idea of India being insulated or decoupled from the contagion on account of limited integration into the world economy has been proved to be wrong. What is interesting is the focus has always been on the services sector and not on the manufacturing sector in India. In this background, this chapter tries to understand whether manufacturing sectors' productivity growth was one of the reasons that the crisis worsened in India or was it because of the crisis that India's manufacturing sector went into a deep recession. To look into the causality issue, the author estimates the productivity loss index (PLI) for the Indian industries during the period between July 2007 and July 2010 by estimating the fall in growth percentages in consecutive months for a total of 9,000 manufacturing, mining, and electricity industries. The data at monthly level have been retrieved from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) Prowess database. Based on the causality results, the chapter shows that it was because of the subprime crisis that India's manufacturing sector went into a deep recession. Using a probit model, the chapter also estimates the probability of the US subprime crisis being responsible for the productivity loss in India's manufacturing sector during the above-mentioned period.

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Productivity Growth in the Manufacturing Sector
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80071-094-8

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Book part
Publication date: 2 March 2011

Xiaobing Feng and Ilan Alon

Although China has claimed since 2005 that it will move towards a more market-oriented system of managing its foreign exchange, it has remained, in part, a managed economic…

Abstract

Although China has claimed since 2005 that it will move towards a more market-oriented system of managing its foreign exchange, it has remained, in part, a managed economic system. This chapter examines the relative importance of fundamentalist, chartist and currency arrangements in determining the RMB exchange regime using both traditional linear and non-linear artificial intelligence models. We find that the emphasis on the US dollar as a reference currency has declined. Fundamentalist forces are becoming strong determinants of the currency exchange. The genetic programming approach is among the best performing in minimizing forecasting error.

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The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Emerging Financial Markets
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-85724-754-4

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Book part
Publication date: 8 March 2011

Guonan Ma and Robert N McCauley

The renminbi (RMB) has evolved in four phases since its mid-2005 unpegging from the US dollar. After a year's transition, the RMB's effective exchange rate traded for two years…

Abstract

The renminbi (RMB) has evolved in four phases since its mid-2005 unpegging from the US dollar. After a year's transition, the RMB's effective exchange rate traded for two years within narrow bands around an appreciating trend. That is, the RMB behaved as if it were managed to strengthen gradually against trading partners’ currencies. This experiment was interrupted in mid-2008 and the RMB stabilized against a strong dollar amidst the global financial crisis. If Chinese policy were to return to effective currency stability and other East Asian countries were to pursue similar policies, regional currency stability would be enhanced. That would create more favorable conditions for an evolution towards monetary cooperation.

Book part
Publication date: 8 March 2011

Antonia López-Villavicencio and Valérie Mignon

The aim of this chapter is to provide equilibrium exchange rates values for a large set of currencies and to study the adjustment process of observed exchange rates toward these…

Abstract

The aim of this chapter is to provide equilibrium exchange rates values for a large set of currencies and to study the adjustment process of observed exchange rates toward these levels by paying special attention to emerging Asian countries. Relying on panel smooth transition regression models, we show that real exchange rate dynamics in the long run are nonlinear for emerging Asian countries, and linear for the G7 currencies. Especially, there exists an asymmetric behavior of the real exchange rate when facing an over- or undervaluation, the adjustment speed being higher in the case of undervaluation in Asia. Although this result may be explained by the international pressure to limit undervaluation, the undervaluation may still persist over time, as has been observed since the beginning of 1990s.

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The Evolving Role of Asia in Global Finance
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-85724-745-2

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Book part
Publication date: 1 January 2006

Jean-Marc F. Blanchard

There are two leading paradigms about the power balance between multinational corporations (MNCs) and states. The MNCs in Command approach takes the perspective that MNCs dominate…

Abstract

There are two leading paradigms about the power balance between multinational corporations (MNCs) and states. The MNCs in Command approach takes the perspective that MNCs dominate states. The States in Command perspective assumes that states lord over MNCs. Each perspective suffers from noteworthy flaws. I advocate a modified bargaining power (MBP) approach to understanding the relative power of MNCs and states. I test the value of this approach by examining Microsoft's experience in China between 1987 and 2004. My study shows that that a MBP approach sheds considerable light on the aforementioned case, whereas the two leading paradigms do not.

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Value Creation in Multinational Enterprise
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-84950-475-1

Book part
Publication date: 12 December 2007

Jan P.A.M. Jacobs and Gerard H. Kuper

Indicators of financial crises generally do not have a good track record. This chapter presents an early warning system (EWS) for six countries in Asia in which indicators do…

Abstract

Indicators of financial crises generally do not have a good track record. This chapter presents an early warning system (EWS) for six countries in Asia in which indicators do work. We extract a full list of currency crisis indicators from the literature, apply factor analysis to combine the indicators, and use these factors as explanatory variables in logit models which are estimated for the period 1970:01–2001:12. The quality of the EWS is assessed both in-sample and out-of-sample. We find that money growth (M1 and M2), national savings, and import growth correlate with currency crises.

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Asia-Pacific Financial Markets: Integration, Innovation and Challenges
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-7623-1471-3

Book part
Publication date: 24 October 2013

Arturo J. Galindo, Alejandro Izquierdo and Liliana Rojas-Suarez

This chapter explores the impact of international financial integration on credit markets in Latin America, using a cross-country dataset covering 17 countries between 1996 and…

Abstract

This chapter explores the impact of international financial integration on credit markets in Latin America, using a cross-country dataset covering 17 countries between 1996 and 2008. It is found that financial integration amplifies the impact of international financial shocks on aggregate credit and interest rate fluctuations. Nonetheless, the net impact of integration on deepening credit markets dominates for the large majority of states of nature. The chapter also uses a detailed bank-level dataset that covers more than 500 banks for a similar time period to explore the role of financial integration – captured through the participation of foreign banks – in propagating external shocks. It is found that interest rates charged and loans supplied by foreign-owned banks respond more to external financial shocks than those supplied by domestically owned banks. This does not hold for all foreign banks. Spanish banks in the sample behave more like domestic banks and do not amplify the impact of foreign shocks on credit and interest rates.

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Global Banking, Financial Markets and Crises
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78350-170-0

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