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The EU’s phase-out of Russian gas is not guaranteed

Location:

EU

This is the trajectory followed by the majority of member states. However, blockages remain in east-central Europe, where Turkey could play a role in maintaining direct or…

US allies will worry about Trump's Asia policies

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UNITED STATES

Democrats and Republicans largely share the assessment that China poses the greatest challenge to US interests globally. The Biden administration retained Trump’s strong tariff…

Slow and stuttering rebound for global manufacturing

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INTERNATIONAL

Growth rates are strongest in the Americas, China, India and the Middle East. However, disruptions in the Red Sea and Panama Canal, and now the closure of the port of Baltimore…

Central US treasury clearing marks substantial change

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UNITED STATES

One change will be that FICC members -- typically big banks and broker-dealers -- must settle their clients' treasuries trades through the clearing house. This is critical to the…

Digital euro will launch but perhaps later than 2027

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INT

The digital euro project is the most advanced central bank digital currency (CBDC) plan among Western economies. It promises enhanced strategic autonomy, faster payments and to…

Different demand pictures dominate the outlook for oil

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INTERNATIONAL

Markets have largely taken Red Sea trade disruption in their stride. Increased non-OPEC supply is expected this year, leaving the major uncertainty around the impact on demand of…

Brazil renewables will gain priority amid challenges

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BRAZIL

Brazil has one of the cleanest energy matrixes in the world by international standards. However, the production of oil and oil derivatives continues to grow, and the country is…

Biden will stress regional economic development work

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UNITED STATES

With the economy a central issue for many voters, Biden is stressing his administration’s focus on place-based economic development (PBED), an approach to shaping the economic…

Colombia’s new mining law poses regulatory risks

Location:

COLOMBIA

The government proposes banning new contracts for thermal coal exploitation, shortening timeframes for mining exploration and introducing new environmental regulations that could…

More upheaval may await Europe’s carmakers

Location:

EU

Speculation that Europe’s carmakers might be exploring partnerships to produce more affordable electric vehicles (EVs) and withstand global competition, particularly from China…