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After the 2021-22 post-pandemic rebound, growth is stabilising at around 2%. Barring new external shocks, it is expected to remain at this level in the coming years. Improved…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284334
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
Banks in larger EU states are heavily exposed to European and US CRE markets, which have further to fall in 2024. Writedowns are underway, dealing a blow to sentiment and harming…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286071
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
Retail sales accelerated in annual terms, as consumption continues to lead economic expansion. However, investment slowed and exports fell back deeper into contraction. The…
Expectations for 2024 suggest lower inflation than last year, but risks persist. The OECD forecasts moderate GDP growth, highlighting inflation and interest rate concerns. Minimum…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284490
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
The figures also indicate that the imbalances created by pandemic-related injections of liquidity in 2000 and 2021 have largely been corrected.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286625
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
GDP contracted by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in July-September, according to updated estimates from Eurostat this month, having grown by 0.2% in the second quarter and not at all in…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283678
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285518
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
Topical
Soaring government spending, driven by the war in Ukraine, has pushed economic activity beyond levels many thought possible given the available supply of labour and capital. Yet…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287067
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
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This is likely if the Chinese and US economies slow as expected and the trade recovery disappoints. The much more bullish OPEC forecasts would see OPEC+ able to return some supply…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283472
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
Topical
Markets have largely taken Red Sea trade disruption in their stride. Increased non-OPEC supply is expected this year, leaving the major uncertainty around the impact on demand of…